日本人たちは核ミサイル要撃が可能だと妄想するが.

Odds of NK missile interception doubtful
Chun Koong missile interceptorBy Lee Tae-hoon

Experts raised questions Wednesday about South Korea’s move to counter North Korean ballistic missiles capable of carrying chemical and nuclear warheads by pushing the envisioned development of advanced interceptors.

Seoul successfully developed an indigenous mid-range surface-to-air missile, the Chun Koong, with a maximum range of 40 kilometers in December last year and is planning to inject 135.4 billion won ($120.2 million) to upgrade it to make a longer range surface-to-air missile (L-SAM).

“The country should put more emphasis on proactive deterrence in order to discourage North Korea from provoking the South,” said Kim Tae-woo, a nuclear specialist currently serving as the president of the Korean Institute for National Unification.

“Beefing up defensive measures is necessary but cannot be an effective method of stopping North Korean attacks.”

He said that the country’s limited defense budget should be dedicated to bolstering capabilities to retaliate against the Stalinist regime, which is believed to possess more than 1,000 missiles at over 20 bases throughout the country, if it undertakes a military attack.

The former researcher at the Korean Institute for Defense Analyses argued that the best defense for the South is the ability to undertake an effective offense and that no matter how much money is poured into the missile defense system, the country will remain vulnerable.

“No matter how great the nation’s defense posture is, it cannot stop the North’s motive to undertake an attack against the South, nor completely prevent damage,” he said.

Kim suggested the Ministry of National Defense to increase its outnumbered stockpile of missiles and other conventional arms early last year to a level equivalent or superior to that of the North while serving as a head of a presidential panel on defense advancement.

A senior defense official admitted that the South will remain susceptible to North Korean missile threats, even it successfully develops L-SAMs without a hitch by 2020.

“There is no solution to defending Seoul from North Korean missile attacks,” the official said.

“The odds of intercepting all of the multiple missiles flying toward the South are very slim, no matter how great our missile defense system would be.”

He said the South’s missile defense system is dedicated to defend some of the most valuable military assets, rather than civilians.

Dan Lin, an official of Lockheed Martin specialized in advanced interceptors, concurred, saying the South will suffer a certain degree of damage no matter how early advanced missile interceptors block enemy targets.

“The current technology only allows interceptors to shoot down enemy missiles after the latter reaches an apogee (peak altitude),” he said.

He added that it would be inevitable for the military to shoot down enemy missiles carrying nuclear or chemical warheads when they fly above South Korean territory as many North Korean launch pads are situated near the border.

Lin said his company is consulting with the Defense Acquisition Program Administration over a possible transfer of technology or sales of its most advanced interceptors that employ hit-to-kill technology.

[출처] 북한 핵미사일도 요격 가능할까?|작성자 1004younguk

 

美軍 " 미사일 전문가들은 우리군이 탄도탄을 요격할 수 있는 장거리 지대공유도무기(L-SAM)을 개발 해 2020년 전력화에 성공한다고 하더라도 북한 미사일의 위협으로부터 자유로워 질 수는 없을 거라 말했다.

북한의 탄도미사일 1천여 발 중 어떤 것이 핵 또는 생화학 탄두를 탑재한 미사일인지를 구분하기도 사실상 불가능하며 동시다발적으로 날아오는 미사일 들을 막아낼 수 있는 기술적, 재정적 능력이 사실상 안 된다는 것이다.

 

 

 

 

북한 핵미사일도 요격 가능할까?

북한이 핵미사일을 서울을 비롯한 주요 도시를 향해 발사한다면 요격이 가능할까?

이 질문에 대해 미사일 전문가들은 우리군이 탄도탄을 요격할 수 있는 장거리 지대공유도무기(L-SAM)을 개발 해 2020년 전력화에 성공한다고 하더라도 북한 미사일의 위협으로부터 자유로워 질 수는 없을 거라 말했다.

북한의 탄도미사일 1천여 발 중 어떤 것이 핵 또는 생화학 탄두를 탑재한 미사일인지를 구분하기도 사실상 불가능하며 동시다발적으로 날아오는 미사일 들을 막아낼 수 있는 기술적, 재정적 능력이 사실상 안 된다는 것이다.

국내 최고 핵전략전문가로 꼽히는 통일연구원장 김태우박사는 “방어도 필요하지만 더 중요한 것은 적극적 억제 능력”이라 지적했다. 그는 비용이 많이 들면서도 적의 도발의지를 억제하는데 있어서는 한계가 있는 요격능력을 키우기 보다는 북이 공격을 감행했을 때 응징할 수 있는 능력을 배양하는데 더 노력해야 한다고 주장했다.

중국은 수천개의 핵미사일을 현재 보유.

북조선 괴뢰의 핵미사일 추정치는 대략 48기.

한국의 수십만개의 순항 탄도미사일 보유.

사실 일본인들은 항공모함, 이지스함을 자랑하지만.

그것들은 이미 종이배로 전락된지 오래이군요.

위의 미사일이 도쿄, 오사카 등의 대도시에 투하된다면.

그 순간 지구에서 지워지는군요.